Last week our only winner was Rory, who correctly predicted that Fabio Borini would score and that Sunderland would win.
Brian and Andy are below the £40.00 starting mark, so have some making up to do over the coming weeks if they are to topple the rest of the crew.
Week #15 Table:
Last Week's Profit/Loss
|@SAFCSource||- £10.00||- £1.00|
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Another win for me last week, i'm getting good at this!
I'm keeping it simple with my Sunderland bet this week. Paddy Power are offering 4/1 for the lads to win, which is a great price for a home side. It might be optimistic but I'll have five benk on it. Ha'way!
In the FA Cup Semi Finals I'll go for a double that will set up a Everton v Watford final. Both sides to overcome Manchester United and Crystal Palace, respectively, gives odds of 9.75/1 with Betfair, so another fiver on that has a potential overall return of £48.75.
Sunderland to win: 4/1 - £5
Everton/Watford double: 9.75/1 - £5
We may be playing Arsenal at just the right time, since they beat Leicester at home in February they have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 5 (in all competitions) as Arsene Wenger's team seem to be running out of steam. We need to keep our improved performances going for the full 90 minutes if we are to beat Arsenal but they won't relish the midfield battle that the trio of Jan Kirchhoff, Yann M'Vila and Lee Cattermole will give them. I fancy us to win 2-1 but rather than taking the 15/1 you can get for that result, I am going to give myself a bit of leeway and go for the shorter odds of 7/1 for us to win and both teams to score.
Southend have struggled this month, with one draw and three defeats to their name, that is despite playing three of the teams struggling to stay up in League One in Blackpool, Fleetwood and Oldham. So the last thing they would want is a trip to Wigan who could clinch promotion to the Championship this weekend. The home side should be buoyant and will want to put on a show for their home fans.
Wigan to win by three or more goals: 13/5 - £5
This Sunderland game is a market I've no interest in this weekend. Arsenal are there for the taking but we're asking us to take something from the game. As much as I'd back a rival to take something from this fixture, I just don't have the confidence we can. So I'm putting a pathetic quid on the goal scoring market. Duncan Watmore is probably an Arsenal fan like his Da, but his Da will be supporting Sunderland for this, with that I've no doubt young Duncan would love to bag a goal against The Gunners. Watmore terrifies tiring defenders, whether it's a consolation goal or whether it will seal any points I don't know, but I think Watmore will be last goal scorer. Probably the most logical bet in the whole goal scoring market and I'm taking it.
My second selection will take up the last of my balance and I'm going to risk a double. I was once winning this competition! Lose this and I'm flat on my arse with 50p left. It's FA cup weekend and Everton look poor. It's Neutral ground and I think Man U will batter them, but to qualify for the final will suffice.
Second part of my double is in League 2. Accrington Stanley find themselves in a three team battle for two automatic places. They're at home to a sorry York City I and think they'll coast it.
Last Goascorer - Duncan Watmore: 11/1 - £1
Man U to qualify and Accrington Stanley to win: 1.04/1 - £30 returns £61.33
Right... Rory can piss off taking the lead off me again. I need to think.
Both teams are nailed on to score, aren't they? Neither of us are very good defensively but have no problem scoring goals, which going by Sunderland logic should mean we're getting a 0-0 draw - but a fiver at 13/2 returns £37.50 when pairing BTTS with a Sunderland win.
Elsewhere, a Southampton/Chelsea/Liverpool treble returns 4.78/1, which equates to £28.91 off a fiver.
BTTS & Sunderland to win: 13/2 - £5
Southampton, Chelsea and Liverpool treble: £5 returns £28.91
I think we might get something on Sunday so, an easy Sunderland bet this week. The lads to either win or draw, which will see me double my money.
For my standard acca, I’m going to resist the temptation to put on a big, seven fold one like I did last week (I did cash out at a profit in real life, mind you), and go for a smaller, condensed one. So, in League One, Wigan to beat Southend at home looks like a banker and I’m going to risk it and bet on Oldham to get an important three points against Crewe. In League Two, Plymouth to pick up the win against Dagenham & Redbridge looks solid and the league inform team AFC Wimbledon to beat Orient at home looks decent, especially with the O's troubles at the minute.
Sunderland to win or draw: £10 - 11/10
Wigan, Oldham, Plymouth and Wimbledon to win: £10 - 4.77/1
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