Progress & Week #16 Table
There's a bit of a gap forming now between our pundits and it has became a bit of a two horse race at the top between Dan Parker and Andy Tomlinson.
That said, though, this is betting - one lucky win could catapult anyone ahead of the rest. Chris Sparks almost winning £750 a month or so ago is still fresh in the memory!
This Week's Bonus Prize...
If Sunderland manage to get a draw or a win at Anfield this weekend then the banker has promised to boost their stakes for next weekend's bets by 20%. For example, if a pundit places £20 on one of their bets, it will actually be bumped up to a £24 by the banker.
Haway the lads!
Writer's Picks For Gameweek #16
I won a bet! Let’s keep this going.
When Dafabet are offering 14/1 for Defoe to score first you can’t turn it down. Elsewhere, I’m backing Man City to beat Burnley under 2.5 goals at 3/1.
For my free accumulator I’m backing five favourites, returning £35.49.
Defoe to score first 14/1 - £5 returns £75
Man City to beat Burnley under 2.5 goals - £5 returns £20
Man City, Newcastle, Brighton, Arsenal and Man Utd all to win - Free £5 returns £35.49
I'm back on track with my Sunderland bet coming off last week - it wasn't a big winner but every little helps.
Is it crazy to back Sunderland keep a clean sheet against Liverpool? A Liverpool team that are brilliant going forward? It certainly is but 25/1 for 0-0 is a great price. John O'Shea will give us added organisation, Pickford is saving everything at the minute and Billy Jones is playing like Cafu. £5 on that, what could possibly go wrong? The only way this bet won't come off is if Victor Anichebe slams one in, in the 90th minute.
Manchester City are capable of dropping daft points and Burnley are capable of grinding out draws. Therefore I'll have £5 on the game to end level at Turf Moor, with odds of 5/1. Hopefully City are feeling a bit knackered after playing in Europe on Wednesday and then in the early game on Saturday. Knowing my luck, it'll be the Burnley who conceded four against West Brom that show up rather than the one who beat Liverpool.
I'm still not going to go too daft with my risk free fiver, I've got catching up to do!
In the Premier League I'll have Leicester to beat Middlesbrough, Chelsea to beat Spurs and Southampton to draw at home to Everton. Leicester have just came off the back of playing in Europe, so wouldn't be surprised to see them drop some points against an improving Boro. Similar story for Saints too but Everton have been hit and miss at times so I'm not too confident they'll win. That leaves a logical punt on Chelsea who are great form and didn't have to play mid week, unlike Tottenham.
I'll round it off with a couple of selections from the Championship. Derby host a struggling Norwich, who are on the brink of sacking Alex Neill so they should come out on top. Hopefully QPR keep up their new manager bounce and win away to Ipswich as well.
Sunderland v L'Pool to finish 0-0 - £5 @ 25/1
Man City v Burnley to draw - £5 @ 5/1
Fivefold accumulator - Free £5 returns £717.66
I’m going to try to break the £200 barrier this week. With that in mind, I wrestled with my Sunderland bet for several moments before opting for the wimpy option.
I’ve gone for BTTS this Saturday as the Lads travel away to Liverpool. I really toyed with the idea of putting us down to win and BTTS but I think I’m slightly delirious having seen the Lads win two games on the bounce. No matter how hard I try I can’t see us keeping a clean sheet. I’m dreaming of a repeat of last season. A draw would do nicely.
We’ve all got a free £5 acca bet this week (thanks banker!) which really tickles my walnuts. I’m not messing around this week. I’ve gone for: Roma, PSV, Anderlecht, Benfica, Celta, Madrid, Portsmouth, Mags, Leeds, Arsenal, and Man City all to win.
SAFC v Liverpool BTTS - £10 @ 19/20
Eleven-team accumulator - Free £5 £128.90
We may have won the last two games, with Jermain Defoe and Victor Anichebe scoring five between them in those two games while looking like a real partnership but a trip to Anfield is likely to mean we won't make it three wins in a row. Our best chance of coming away with something is by packing the defence and trying to frustrate Liverpool, which is probably what David Moyes will try to do. As the odds are 28/1, I'll put a fiver on us doing just that with Jordan Pickford doing his best Jurgen Macho impression.
Boro have been doing much better away from home this season, as they have lost only one of their first six away games - a 3-1 defeat at Everton - picking up points at Manchester City and Arsenal along the way. Meanwhile Leicester, as expected, have struggled this season but have only lost once at home with most of their problems coming away from the King Power Stadium. I think that will continue for both sides on Saturday with a stalemate on the cards.
For my £5 free acca, I am going with West Brom, Watford, Preston, Huddersfield, Millwall, Blackpool and Plymouth!
Liverpool/Sunderland to finish 0-0: 28/1 - £5
Leicester/Middlesbrough to finish 1-1: 11/2 - £5
Sevenfold accumulator: Free £5 returns £761.49
As I don't know what to bet on for the Sunderland game, and the odds for Liverpool to win don't give me a worthwhile bet, I'll take up a price boost from the Dafabet website, which is Sunderland to score the first goal at 9/2.
My second bet will once again take advantage of a price boost offered by Dafabet. Celtic are now 15/4 to win and under 2.5 goals against Aberdeen away from home in the Scottish Cup. At the back end of October, Celtic picked up a 1-0 win there, so hopefully a similar low scoring game will happen.
My £5 free accumulator will be a treble, starting with Reading to beat Bristol City in the Championship, Scunthorpe to get a home win against Oxford and, finally, in League Two, Carlisle to pick up all three points against Mansfield.
Celtic to win and under 2.5 goals: £5 @ 15/4
Sunderland to score first: £3 @ 9/2
Reading, Scunthorpe and Carlisle all to win: Free £5 @ 6.9/1
I want to catch up to the lads at the top of the table so I'm going to take a gamble with my free £5 accumulator in the hope that it puts me closer to them.
I'm looking at the European leagues as my best chance of winning this bet. Sevilla take on strugglers Valencia, whilst Bundesliga table-toppers RB Leipzig are away at Freiburg. AC Milan are away at Empoli, and to round things off I'm taking Monaco - they looked good against Spurs midweek.
For my Sunderland bet I'm backing Victor Anichebe to continue his run of scoring - he's been priceboosted by Dafabet to 9/2 if he scores at any time, and I think that's worth at least a fiver.
Finally, I'm going to put a tenner on a double - Newcastle v Blackburn to have over 2.5 goals and a win for Scunthorpe against Oxford. I'm feeling confident!
Fourfold acca: Free £5 returns £63
Victor Anichebe to score at anytime: £5 @ 9/2
NUFC v Blackburn BTTS + Scunthorpe to beat Oxford double: £10 returns £33.68