Wahey! Two bets from twelve came in for week #2.
@GRokerReport won his first bet of the season, with his BTTS in the Sunderland v Bournemouth game pick earning him twenty benk. @FunkyPhallus may as well have set alight to his fifteen quid, with neither of his bets coming close. @SAFCSource got lucky, as his bet on N'Doye last goalscorer was voided with the player never entering the field of play. Plymouth drew 1-1 with Bristol Rovers, so unfortunately Andy's bet for them to win at 3/1 failed to materialise. He's a fiver down.
New addition @RoryFallow proved he's got more about him than the rest of us, with his five quid on Patrick Van Aanholt to score anytime at 10/1 coming in to cap an amazing first week for him. Can he keep it up, though?
Week #3 Table:
|Pundit||Last Week's Profit/Loss||Current Balance|
Call it beginners luck if you like but I’m still on a high after correctly backing Patrick van Aanholt to score anytime last week.
This week I’m going for Championship high flyers Hull City to romp to victory over Bury, who sit in mid-table in League One. Steve Bruce's side haven't had any trouble scoring goals this season so I’m going for them to win 4-0 to progress into the FA Cup 5th round. Betfair gives me odds of 33/1 and I’ll be placing a cautious £2 on it.
You can't be placing bets on the FA Cup and not back a couple of shock results. I'm going to go for an ambitious treble of wins for Derby County, Peterborough United and Carlisle United. Derby host footballs answer to sleeping pills Manchester United, Peterborough travel to a West Bromwich Albion side who needed a replay to scrape past Championship strugglers Bristol City and Carlisle host an Everton side who just love conceding goals. Odds with Betfair are 165/1 so £3 could earn me a whopping overall winnings of £495.
Hull to beat Bury 4-0: 33/1 - £2
Derby, Peterborough and Carlisle all to win: 165/1 - £3
My first pick this week is an FA Cup upset double. I'm going to go with Pompy to win the south coast derby and Nottingham Forest to edge the Saturday 3pm with Watford. £5 on returns £36.25 with Bet 365.
Finally I’m going to go for a bold Derby County win against Manchester United. Not just a win for Paul Clements men but to lose the first half and go onto win the tie. With that priced at 40/1 with Bet365, I’ll be sticking a quid on.
Double - Portsmouth & Nottingham Forest: 7.25/1 - £5
Derby vs Manchester United - Half-time/Full-Time - Man U/Derby: 40/1 -£1
They may only be 11th in the Championship but Nottingham Forest are unbeaten in all competitions since November the 21st, whilst the visitors are finding life in the Premier League a little tougher of late, despite the win against Newcastle last time out.
That makes the 2/1 available at BetVictor for a home win quite tempting.
Sheff Wed are in form at the moment, are in the play-off positions in the Championship, have just signed Gary Hooper to aid their promotion push and they visit a Shrewsbury side just outside the relegation zone in League One. The visitors should have too much for the home side and you can get Evens with SkyBet for that to happen.
Sheff Wed to win: £5 - Evens
Forest to win: £5 - 2/1
Wahoo, I won something! It wasn't much, but it's a start.
I've got some catching up to do on Rory, so I think this week I might be ambitious (woah, steady on eh?) and try out a four-fold. Spurs, Manchester City and Hull are all away from home in their FA Cup fourth round ties and I'm coupling them with an Arsenal home win over Burnley, which is priced at 6.18/1 with Betway.
Gateshead are in decent form and this weekend welcome promotion contenders Grimsby Town to the International Stadium. You can get evens for over 2.5 goals in this game, so I think I'll have a fiver on that too.
Spurs, Arsenal, Manchester City and Hull all to win: 6.18/1 - £5 returns £30.90
Over 2.5 goals in the Gateshead v Grimsby game: Evens - £5 returns £10
For my FA cup picks I've looked for where I think the replays will come from, so I'll be going for a treble of draws.
For my second I'm heading to Spain and Germany - over 2.5 goals in the Barca v Atletico game along with wins for Getafe, Villarreal, and Hertha making up my four-fold.
Forest v Watford, Bury v Hull and Bolton v Leeds all draws: 37.8/1 - £2.50 returns £95.20
Barca v Atletico over 2.5 Goals, Getafe, Villarreal & Hertha to win: 23.9/1 - £2.50 returns £62.46
Well… I think it’s fair to say my picks so far have been absolutely abysmal. I have to get one right eventually I think, laws of averages and that, so stick with me and put your hard earned pennies on my not-so-carefully thought out punts.
As there isn’t a Sunderland match this week (hallelujah), I guess the FA Cup will have to be my first bet. So, my stab in the dark will have to be home wins for Arsenal and West Brom, coupled with away victories for Bournemouth, Manchester City, Everton and Leeds. This sixth fold, albeit a crappy punt on the strong favourites, might actually recoup me some money, and comes in at odds of 32.01/1. I’ll put £3 on that, which will hopefully see me net £99.
My second bet will be a mix of games in the Football League. The first will be League Two’s second placed side Plymouth to beat tenth placed Wycombe at home. On top of that, I’ll go for AFC Wimbledon to beat relegation threatened Yeovil, League One promotion favourites Coventry to beat Scunthorpe, Wigan to beat Port Vale and Crewe to get beat by Millwall, because, why not. The fivefold comes in at a disheartening 13.67/1.
Six Fold - Arsenal, West Brom, Bournemouth, Manchester City, Everton and Leeds all to win: £3 - 32.01/1
Five Fold - Plymouth, AFC Wimbledon, Coventry, Wigan and Millwall all to win: £2 – 13.67/1.