Week Eleven Recap
|Last Week's Profit/Loss
So the first BIG win of the season for the Roker Report Tipster Team came home as our man in France Dan Williams returned a stunning £93 profit having seen his 18/1 Championship Accumulator prove to be a winner - a truly fantastic bet! Elsewhere Karl correctly called Everton vs Sunderland to feature over 2.5 goals but the rest of the team were wide of the mark with their selections.
Can the team replicate Dan's sensational win? Here are this week's selections:
So, after last weekend's landslide victory (yes I'm boasting, but take comfort in the fact that I didn't actually put the bet on myself) I think I'll take things a little easier this week.
First up, I know we played well at Everton, but Fulham have been superb this season under Martin Jol, so I'm going to say that we'll replicate last weekend. You can get good odds on us to be winning at half time, and have thrown it away by full time, so that's what I'll go for.
Outside of SAFC, I'm dipping back into the lower leagues. Six teams, six wins... there is no chance I can do this two weeks on the bounce, but here goes...
- Sunderland HT/Fulham FT - 20/1 - £2 Stake
- Bolton, Crystal Palace, Leicester, Nottingham Forest, Sheffield United and Swindon to win - 26/1 - £5 Stake
Tough one for the Lads this weekend, as they not only face a side who have been strong at home but one that has been scoring quite a few goals in the process. Whenever I think of Fulham away, the 3-1 win under Roy Keane springs to mind, despite more recent lacklustre outings. Sunderland's first half display at Everton was comfortably the most promising of the season thus far - a similar start will be needed at Craven Cottage.
Inspired by Dan's winner last time out, my first fourfold of the season starts in the Championship. Now Cardiff at home has been a sure thing this season, but Middlesbrough find themselves on a fine run as they travel to South Wales. Cardiff's last six games have yielded three goals or more, so over 2.5 in a game between two high scorers should do the trick. Sitting ahead of those two, are Crystal Palace, who face Derby at home. The Rams are courting a play-off place but the league leaders are averaging almost three goals per game at home.
In League One, Bournemouth have been marching up the table since Eddie Howe's return as manager. Having initially struggled at home, the Cherries have won three straight games at the Fitness First Stadium. Finally, Cheltenham continue to defy their mid-table ante-post labelling and are a massive 3/1 despite being seven points ahead of the Millers in League Two. Prior to last weekend's 5-0 thrashing by Dagenham & Redbridge, Rotherham had been gathering momentum and looking like a team worthy of being favourites for the title, but Cheltenham have been sturdy on the road - picking up points in seven of their eight games. The price simply does not reflect how well Mark Yates' men are doing and could be worth a few quid on its own.
- Sunderland to beat Fulham by a one goal margin - 11/2 - £2 Stake
- Cardiff/Middlesbrough over 2.5 goals, Crystal Palace to beat Derby, Bournemouth to beat Oldham, Cheltenham to beat Rotherham - 20/1 - £2 Stake
Fulham are a side I have enjoyed watching play this season. Mainly because of one man. Dimitar Berbatov. What isn't there to love about this elegant forward. Berbatov is simply bloody cool. Fulham are unbeaten in the six league matched that the Bulgarian has figured and things just seem to be clicking for the forward at the moment. As such I am going have a little go at Fulham's figurehead to score at anytime during Sunday's fixture.
For my second bet I am going to keep things simple this week with a Championship double. First of all is Nottingham Forest who managed a good 2-2 draw away to Leicester last time out and entertain a very poor Sheffield Wednesday side this weekend. Second on the coupon is top of the table Crystal Palace who I would expect to keep up there fantastic run with a home win over Derby.
- Dimitar Berbatov to score anytime - 6/4 - £3 Stake
- Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace to win - 4/1 - £2 Stake
Back in the black again, a nice familiar feeling I suppose having been there most the season. In an effort to get firmly back in the red (that's the good one isn't it?) Here's my selections this week.
Our game against Fulham seems very evenly matched and I simply can't look past a draw. I've also got a bit of a fancy for Seb Larsson... scoring in this one. Him to score whenever he likes in a 1-1 draw looks pretty tasty at 55/1.
Elsewhere, I'm taking inspiration from Dan last week, and going for a lower league big one. A fiver get's stuck on the following teams all to win - Coventry upsetting John Hughes' first game in charge of Hartlepool, plus wins for AFC Wimbledon, Burnley and Milwall. Wish me luck.
- Seb Larsson to score in a 1-1 draw - 55/1 - £1 Stake
- Milwall, AFC Wimbledon, Coventry and Burnley all to win - 22/1 - £5 Stake